The Ratings Game: Lucid stock surges toward a record win streak as a rising EV tide helps investors shrug off a Citi downgrade

Shares of Lucid Group Inc. surged Monday, to put them on course for a sixth-straight gain, as a broad rally in the stocks of fellow electric-vehicle makers helped distract investors from a downbeat analyst note.

Lucid’s stock
LCID,
+5.08%

charged up 4.0% in morning trading and has powered up 31.1% amid a six-day win streak. That would be the longest win streak since the California-based EV maker went public on July 26, 2021 through a merger with a special-purpose acquisition company (SPAC).

It was also headed for the best six-day performance since it ran up 36.1% during the six-session stretch that ended Jan. 26, 2023.

Citi Research’s Itay Michaeli resumed coverage of Lucid’s stock with a neutral rating and $8 stock price target. Prior to a two-month period of being not rated, Michaeli had rated the stock at buy with an $11.50 price target.

Despite the effective downgrade, Lucid’s stock rallied, after upbeat delivery and production data from a number of other EV makers fueled a rally in the sector. Among those that reported data, shares of Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
+5.51%

ran up 6.8%, China-based Nio Inc.
NIO,
+3.21%

tacked on 1.7% and Rivian Automotive Inc.
RIVN,
+14.32%

powered up 11.3%.

Citi’s Michaeli said in a Monday note that while he remains “constructive” on Lucid’s technology relative to its peers, which was recently validated with the supply agreement with U.K.-based luxury automaker Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings PLC
ARGGY,
-2.08%

AML,
-1.58%
,
there’s some uncertainty regarding near-term demand for the Lucid Air EV and the company’s gross margin performance.

“To that, our latest 3rd-party data checks weren’t discouraging but didn’t quite give us sufficient conviction either, so we opt to wait for an opportunistic entry point,” Michaeli wrote in a note to clients.

Meanwhile, said recent price cuts to rival EV models, such as those by Tesla Inc.
TSLA,
+5.51%
,
and the time until the new Gravity sport-utility vehicle (SUV) arrives, adds risk to Lucid’s gross margin outlook.

The company said the Gravity luxury SUV will arrive in 2024.

“We look for signs of strong demand/brand momentum for the Lucid Air, gross margin progression and greater visibility around the 2024 launch of the Gravity SUV,” Michaeli wrote.

Lucid’s stock has lost 9.3% over the past three months, while Global X Autonomous and Electric Vehicles exchange-traded fund
DRIV,
+0.96%

has rallied 11.2% and the S&P 500 index
SPX,
+0.03%

has gained 7.8%.

This post was originally published on Market Watch

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