Bond Report: Bond yields reverse gears ahead of inflation reports

Bond yields reversed gears on Friday, ahead of key data on inflation.

What’s happening

  • The yield on the 2-year Treasury
    TMUBMUSD02Y,
    4.874%

    was 4.87%, down 6.2 basis points. Yields move in the opposite direction to prices.

  • The yield on the 10-year Treasury
    TMUBMUSD10Y,
    3.965%

    was 3.98%, down 2.6 basis points.

  • The yield on the 30-year Treasury
    TMUBMUSD30Y,
    4.022%

    was 4.03%, down 1.4 basis points.

What’s driving markets

Thursday had seen a big upward move in yields, reflecting strong U.S. economic report, a leak from the Bank of Japan that its yield control program would be modified, and a poorly received auction in 7-year notes.

The 16 basis point rise for the 10-year was the most since Sept. 26, 2022.

Friday will see two major releases on inflation: the PCE price index, which is the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation, as well as the quarterly employment cost index, a crucial measure of wages. Both are due at 8:30 a.m. Eastern.

Expectations are that the core PCE price index will rise 0.2% on a monthly basis, and that the employment cost index will climb 1.1%.

This post was originally published on Market Watch

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