Earnings Results: Zillow’s fire sale of homes leads to record revenue, and the stock is surging

Three months after a home-flipping initiative imploded in an embarrassing public display, Zillow Group Inc. reported record revenue from selling the underwater homes Thursday, and shares surged in late trading.

Zillow
Z,
-1.75%

ZG,
-1.26%

reported fiscal fourth-quarter losses of $261.2 million, or $1.03 a share, on record revenue of $3.88 billion, up from $789 million a year ago. After adjusting for stock compensation and more than $70 million in impairment and restructuring costs, Zillow reported a loss of 42 cents a share, after posting adjusted earnings of 41 cents a share a year ago.

Analysts on average expected an adjusted loss of 90 cents a share on sales of $3.01 billion, according to FactSet. Zillow shares rose nearly 15% in after-hours trading immediately following the release of the results, after closing with a 1.8% decline at $48.79.

Zillow shares have plunged 24% in the past three months, since executives admitted in their previous earnings report that a business created to flip homes had purchased far too many homes at too-expensive prices. At that time, Zillow executives expected to lose more than half a billion dollars and lay off about a quarter of staff as a result of the massive miscalculation.

Shares bounced back a bit after executives said in December that they had already found buyers for more than half the homes they still owned, and expected to use millions recouped from the sales to repurchase stock. In Thursday’s report, they said the effort is still tracking ahead of expectations, and will result in positive cash flow, despite disclosing an average loss of $27,609 on 8,353 homes sold in the fourth quarter.

“We’ve made significant progress in our efforts to wind down our iBuying
business — selling homes faster than we anticipated at better unit economics
than we projected,” Chief Executive Rich Barton and Chief Financial Officer Alan Parker wrote in a letter to investors. “The wind-down process is running smoothly and efficiently, and we expect it to generate positive cash flow.”

Zillow’s iBuying business had helped boost revenue, and the company’s forecast showed that it will be a different business after dropping the effort. In 2021, Zillow recorded revenue of more than $8 billion, but executives said Thursday their long-term goal is to hit $5 billion in revenue in 2025 after dumping the home-flipping business.

For the first quarter of 2022, Zillow executives guided for total revenue of $3.12 billion to $3.44 billion, with a midpoint of $3.3 billion, while analysts on average were expecting revenue of $3.26 billion. They predicted adjusted Ebitda of $124 million to $174 million, while analysts were predicting a loss by that standard of $13 million, according to FactSet.

This post was originally published on Market Watch

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